REMNANTS OF KATE
REMNANTS OF
Location:
28.5N
-52.9W
Maximum Sustained Winds:
30 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure:
1012 mb
Moving:
NNW OR 340 DEGREES at
15 MPH
THE CENTER OF
REMNANTS OF KATE IS:
ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
FIVE DAY TRACK - NHC
FLOATER SATELLITE - NOAA
LIKELY ARRIVAL OF 34 KT+ WINDS - NHC
WILMINGTON, NC RADAR - NWS
NHC
ADVISORIES
000
WTNT35 KNHC 041442
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Victor Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202021
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 04 2021
...VICTOR DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 45.2W
ABOUT 1410 MI...2270 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Victor were located near
latitude 18.8 North, longitude 45.2 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through tonight.
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained
winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening
is forecast through tonight.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Victor. Additional information on the remnants of Victor
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
000
WTNT45 KNHC 041443
TCDAT5
Remnants Of Victor Discussion Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202021
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 04 2021
Victor is no longer a tropical cyclone. A timely 1048 UTC ASCAT-A
pass confirms that Victor does not have a closed surface
circulation. Since the system has degenerated into a trough of low
pressure over the central Atlantic, this will be the final NHC
advisory on Victor. An area of 20 to 22-kt scatterometer winds is
noted well to the northeast of the trough axis, but these winds
should diminish through tonight as the trough dampens and the
remnants move west-northwestward. Hostile environmental conditions,
including strong southerly shear and very dry mid-level air, will
inhibit any redevelopment of this system.
Additional information on the remnants of Victor can be found in
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 04/1500Z 18.8N 45.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS
12H 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
000
WTNT25 KNHC 041442
TCMAT5
REMNANTS OF VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021
1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.2W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.2W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 44.5W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 45.2W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON VICTOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF VICTOR
CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
000 FONT15 KNHC 041442 PWSAT5 REMNANTS OF VICTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF VICTOR WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS ...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME... AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED... $$ FORECASTER REINHART
000 WTNT85 KNHC 092042 TCVAT5 ELSA WATCH/WARNING ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 442 PM EDT FRI JUL 9 2021 .POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ELSA CAUTION...THIS PRODUCT ONLY APPROXIMATELY CONVEYS THE EXTENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND AND SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST PUBLIC ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE PRECISE LATERAL EXTENT OF WIND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE COAST...AS WELL AS THE APPROXIMATE LATERAL EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS. THE PRECISE EXTENT OF SURGE WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE NWS NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE HAZARD GRIDS. MAZ007-013>024-RIZ001>008-092145- /O.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 442 PM EDT FRI JUL 9 2021 $$ ATTN...WFO...BOX...
000 FKNT25 KNHC 041443 TCANT5 REMNANTS OF VICTOR ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021 TC ADVISORY DTG: 20211004/1500Z TCAC: KNHC TC: VICTOR ADVISORY NR: 2021/021 OBS PSN: 04/1500Z N1848 W04512 MOV: WNW 13KT INTST CHANGE: NC C: 1011HPA MAX WIND: 025KT FCST PSN +6 HR: 04/2100Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +12 HR: 05/0300Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +18 HR: 05/0900Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: ///KT FCST PSN +24 HR: 05/1500Z N//// W///// FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: ///KT RMK: THE FORECAST POSITION INFORMATION IN THIS PRODUCT IS INTERPOLATED FROM OFFICIAL FORECAST DATA VALID AT 0000... 0600...1200...AND 1800Z. NXT MSG: NO MSG EXP $$
000
WTCA45 TJSJ 041449
TCPSP5
BOLETIN
Depresion Tropical Victor Advertencia Numero 21
SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL AL202021
Traduccion por el SNM San Juan PR
1100 AM AST lunes 4 de octubre de 2021
...VICTOR SE DEGENERA Y SE CONVIERTE EN VAGUADA SOBRE EL CENTRO
DEL ATLANTICO...
...ESTA ES LA ADVERTENCIA FINAL...
RESUMEN DE LAS 1100 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMACION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...18.8N 45.2O
CERCA DE 1410 MI...2270 KM AL OESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE CABO VERDE
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...ONO O 300 GRADOS A 15 MPH...24 KM/H
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1011 MB...29.86 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
No hay vigilancias ni advertencias costeras en vigor.
DISCUSION Y PERSPECTIVAS
----------------------
A las 1100 AM AST (0900 UTC),los remanentes
de Victor estaban localizados cerca de latitud 18.8 norte, longitud
45.2 oeste. Los remanentes se mueven hacia el oeste noroeste a cerca
de 15 mph (24 km/h) y se espera que este movimiento general continue
durante esta noche.
Datos de vientos derivados del satelite indican que los vientos
maximos sostenidos estan cerca de 30 mph (45 km/h) con rafagas mas
fuertes. Se espera debilitamiento hasta esta noche.
La presion central minima estimada es de 1011 mb (29.86 pulgadas).
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
----------------------
Ninguno.
PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------
Esta es la ultima advertencia publica emitida por el Centro Nacional
de Huracanes sobre Victor. Para informacion adicional sobre los
remanentes de Victor, favor de referirse a los Pronosticos de Alto Oleaje
emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia, bajo el encabezamiento
en AWIPS NFDHSFAT1, encabezamiento en WMO FZNT01 KWBC, y en
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Pronosticador D. Zelinsky
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